Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)


	Alvarado		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.88
	2.65	2.7	2.8
	2.9	2.75	2.75
	2.9	2.74	2.99
	2.75	2.62	2.8
	2.83	2.83	2.9
	2.75	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	2.85 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
33.4%

Draw
33.9%

Defensores de Belgrano
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

33.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

34.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Alvarado - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Ihitz N. 8. Malagueno F. 5. Bellocq F. 10. Fernandez J. L. 11. Boasso F. 7. Ramirez S. 9. Albertengo M.	1. Petruchi L. (G) 6. De Tomasso J. 4. Bonacorso E. 2. Del Grecco N. 3. Sanchez S. 10. Salto C. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Benitez M. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Benegas N.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 20. Bolanos E. 17. Jaurena S. 16. Lamardo G. 12. Lobelos J. (G) 14. Olivera L. 19. Rebecchi L. 18. Vadala G. 15. Vitale J.	19. Ceratto M. 16. Chavez F. 15. Formica L. 17. Machado C. 14. Medaglia E. 18. Molina M. 20. Moreira R. 12. Pietrobono I. (G) 13. Torres D.
Coaches
Martinez J. M.	Mayor C.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.07.23	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	4:2 ✺
24.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3 ✺
17.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	Def. de Belgrano awarded ✺
02.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	1:1
19.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	2:1

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