Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Defensores de Pronunciamiento		El Linqueño

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.55	2.83	2.02
	3.2	3.4	1.91
	3.21	2.88	2.29
	3.25	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.59)	3.06 ↓ (3.58)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
27.4%

Draw
29.4%

El Linqueño
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

23.8%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Linqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+3%)

Defensores de Pronunciamiento - El Linqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Cabrera J. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 0, Pelude L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Herrera N. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Medina G. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Linqueño is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Linqueño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match El Linqueño is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.06.24	9 de Julio - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.05.24	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.06.24	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	0:2 ✺
24.06.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
17.06.24	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.24	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	4:0
17.09.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - El Linqueño	2:2
22.07.23	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0
28.05.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - El Linqueño	1:1
01.04.23	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:1

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