Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4


	Delfín		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3	Watch
	2.45	3	2.95
	2.5	3	2.95	Watch
	2.52	3.01	3.15
	2.53	3.01	3.12
	2.38	3	2.9	Watch
	2.47	3.13	2.94	Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.58)	3.05 ↓ (3.23)	3 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
38%

Draw
30.7%

Belgrano
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.4%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Delfín - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Heras B. (G) 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 2. Goitea N. 14. Gariglio I. 3. Elordi J. M. 55. Reyes M. 5. Garcia C. 16. Castro L. 8. Gaggi E. 9. Angulo J. 79. Tijanovich H.	25. Losada N. (G) 4. Barinaga J. 40. Moreno M. 37. Troilo M. 13. Meriano N. 24. Gonzalez F. 5. Longo S. 32. Rojas A. 15. Garcia M. 11. Reyna B. 29. Jara F.
Substitutes
19. Alman J. 30. Becerra L. 22. Cagua G. 25. Humanante J. 11. Messiniti N. 20. Mieles M. 7. Mino M. 4. Nazareno J. 33. Recalde Baez E. E. (G) 15. Sambonino K. 51. Zambrano J. 54. Zuniga E.	45. Baldi A. 19. Chavarria P. 1. Chicco I. (G) 34. Heredia G. 22. Ibacache A. 26. Lencioni F. 2. Maffini G. 10. Marin M. 14. Palavecino M. 17. Pastran L. 23. Quignon F. 16. Rolon E.
Coaches
Duro G.	Real J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Garcia M. 🟨,
23', Angulo J. 🟨,
23', Meriano N. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Jara F. ⚽, Barinaga J. (A),
45+2', Rojas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
46', Rojas A. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
55', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
60', Losada N. 🟨,
65', Tijanovich H. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
73', Jara F. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
76', Barinaga J. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
77', Gaggi E. ↓, Mieles M. ↑,
77', Castro L. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
85', Gonzalez F. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Elordi J. M. ⚽, Alman J. (A),
90+4', Longo S. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Delfín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.04.24	Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Real Tomayapo - Delfín	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.03.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	0:0 ✺
25.03.24	Delfín - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
21.03.24	Emelec - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Belgrano - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.03.24	Tigre - Belgrano	1:4 ✺
20.03.24	Belgrano - Lanús	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Central Córdoba - Belgrano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWLT

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