Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 6

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Delfín		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.12	2.98	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.03	3.84
	2.27	3.03	3.41	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.5
	2.16	2.96	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	2.96 ↓ (3.24)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
42.9%

Draw
31%

Libertad Loja
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Delfín - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Delfín (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 55. Reyes M. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 6. Burdisso M. 17. Rubio E. 34. Heredia G. 16. Castro L. 30. Valverde J. 11. Perinciolo F. 8. Molinas I. A. 9. Ayunta F.	12. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 5. Gruezo C. 36. Garcia A. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 27. Bueno S. 70. Branda V. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 30. Bravo J. 63. Valencia C. 33. Chere A.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez A. 33. Cabeza E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 19. Cavallaro J. 5. Medina O. 10. Mendoza E. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 29. Ratotti F. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E.	52. Bao A. (G) 11. Batalla H. 6. Caicedo B. 9. Caicedo E. 16. Cifuentes J. 19. Corozo B. 66. Estacio J. (G) 23. Guisamano J. 25. Lucas M. 22. Mina J. (G) 29. Zambrano R.
Coaches
Zubeldia J.	Leon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Rubio E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bueno S. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
54', Valencia C. 🟨,
61', Perinciolo F. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
69', Bravo J. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
69', Valencia C. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
69', Chere A. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Zambrano R. ↑,
78', Molinas I. A. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
87', Valverde J. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
87', Rubio E. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
90+3', Cabezas D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Delfín might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Emelec - Delfín	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTW
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.03.26	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.26	Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.09.25	Delfín - Libertad Loja	0:0
10.05.25	Libertad Loja - Delfín	0:1
31.08.24	Libertad Loja - Delfín	2:0
25.03.24	Delfín - Libertad Loja	1:1
17.08.23	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:3
18.03.23	Delfín - Libertad Loja	3:2

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