Match Info

Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	11:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	11:30	Zapping Sports


	Delfín		Manta

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	2.1	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.21	3.1	3.93
	2.2	3.04	3.56	Watch
	2.18	2.85	3.85
	2.15	3.28	3.33	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.8)	3.1 ↓ (3.34)	3.47 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
43.4%

Draw
29.9%

Manta
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.7%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Delfín's form might have worsened.

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Delfín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Delfín - Manta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 14. Zuniga E. 34. Heredia G. 18. Morocho J. 31. Arce J. 10. Luna D. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F.	12. Zambrano F. (G) 23. Medina A. 4. Nazareno J. 24. Moscarelli O. 31. Mina G. 27. Troya J. 6. Jimenez J. 5. Ramirez B. 55. Verges J. 17. Angulo J. 19. Alman J. (C)
Substitutes
3. Aimar D. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 23. Cornejo L. 70. Espinoza E. 8. Moreno K. 80. Pena B. 55. Reyes M. 17. Rubio E. 78. Ushina K.	11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J. 10. Burbano R. 20. Chala J. 7. Chala W. 1. Chavez W. (G) 28. Ledesma A. 14. Mina J. 25. Monaga J. 70. Nazareno J. 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M.
Coaches
Leon J.	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
20', Troya J. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Ayunta F. ⚽, Zuniga E. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Angulo J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 2, Angulo J. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Ayunta F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Bedoya A. 🟨,
62', Angulo J. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
62', Verges J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
62', Troya J. ↓, Burbano R. ↑,
63', Medina A. 🟨,
64', Hernandez B. 🟨,
68', Hernandez B. ↓, Rubio E. ↑,
68', Arce J. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
68', Heredia G. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
71', Medina A. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Ayunta F. ⚽, Espinoza E. (A),
76', Jimenez J. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
78', Luna D. ↓, Cornejo L. ↑,
80', Cornejo L. 🟨,
90+3', Ayunta F. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 2, Ushina K. ⚽, Reyes M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Delfín has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Delfín against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Manta - the odds 4.63 are the expected chance of winning is 20.17%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.10.26	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
01.09.26	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTLW
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.10.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
21.09.26	Manta - Orense	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Manta - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Emelec - Manta	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Manta	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1
28.06.25	Delfín - Manta	2:0
03.03.25	Manta - Delfín	2:2
Club Friendly
06.02.25	Delfín - Manta	0:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.10.21	Delfín - Manta	2:1
19.04.21	Manta - Delfín	1:2

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