The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Libertad Loja 32.4%
Draw 29.6%
Barcelona Guayaquil 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
29.2%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
28.4%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Barcelona (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 5. Gruezo C. 36. Garcia A. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 19. Corozo B. 23. Guisamano J. 33. Chere A. 70. Branda V. 30. Bravo J.
1. Contreras J. (G) 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 3. Sosa L. (C) 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 8. Celiz M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 16. Cano L. 21. Villalba H. 18. Carabali B.
Substitutes
11. Batalla H. 27. Bueno S. 6. Caicedo B. 9. Caicedo E. 16. Cifuentes J. 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 66. Estacio J. (G) 25. Lucas M. 22. Mina J. (G) 63. Valencia C. 29. Zambrano R.
9. Benedetto D. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 17. Gaspar D. 6. Guerrero B. 23. Martinez T. 29. Medina J. 12. Mina J. 11. Parrales M. 27. Vargas W. 51. Wila J.
Coaches
Leon J.
Farias Acosta C. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Guisamano J. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
57', Bravo J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
64', Celiz M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
65', Villalba H. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
65', Carabali B. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
66', Sosa L. 🟨,
72', Batalla H. 🟨,
72', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
80', Perlaza J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
82', Chere A. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
89', Zambrano I. 🟨,
90+1', Cortez Casierra G. J. 🟨,
90+3', Gruezo C. 🟨,
90+4', Cano L. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
90+9', Rangel A. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Barcelona SC
30
11
11
8
32:25
7
44
Last Results with these Odds
Barcelona Guayaquil - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Cabezas D. (G) 
Contreras J. (G) 
Baez J. 
Sosa L. (C) 
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