Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 2

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Leones del Norte		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.15	2.98	3.4	Watch
	2.31	3	3.79
	2.14	3.01	3.79	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.4
	2.19	3.26	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.88)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.45 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
42.6%

Draw
30.7%

Libertad Loja
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones del Norte's form might have worsened.

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Angulo J. L. (G) 4. Arroyo R. 2. Moran J. 25. Kreiman B. 16. De La Cruz M. 5. Coppo T. 6. Griffa E. 10. Mansilla A. 55. Borja R. 99. Solano C. 40. Anangono J. (C)	99. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 6. Caicedo B. 36. Garcia A. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 70. Branda V. 19. Corozo B. 49. Coronel D. 11. Batalla H. 47. Cortez Casierra G. J.
Substitutes
32. Aguas A. 15. Araujo I. 9. Arrieta S. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 11. Caramuto M. 20. Mendez M. 23. Monserrat N. 45. Nazareno L. (G) 14. Rosales A. 3. Vargas F.	30. Bravo J. 27. Bueno S. 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 33. Chere A. 5. Gruezo C. 23. Guisamano J. 25. Lucas M. 22. Mina J. (G) 63. Valencia C. 29. Zambrano R.
Coaches
Mendez E.	Leon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Griffa E. ⚽, Mansilla A. (A),
35', Arroyo R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Branda V. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patta E. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
60', Mansilla A. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
67', Borja R. ↓, Caramuto M. ↑,
73', Batalla H. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
73', Corozo B. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
76', Solano C. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
77', Caramuto M. 🟨,
79', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
81', Zambrano I. 🟨,
89', Castro S. 🟨,
90+5', Branda V. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,

Preview

Leones del Norte will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.26	Deportivo Macará - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.10.25	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	9 de Octubre - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
16.10.25	Leones del Norte - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Gualaceo - Leones del Norte	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWTW
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.02.26	Libertad Loja - Manta	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Orense - Libertad Loja	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLWTT

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