Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 5

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Macará		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.7	3.35	4.95
	1.75	3.27	5.63
	1.71	3.4	5.37	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.7	3.41	5.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.32 ↑ (3.17)	5.12 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
54.3%

Draw
27.8%

Delfín
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

29.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

28%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Deportivo Macará - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Macará will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 5. Estacio J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 27. Mohor J. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 8. Blanc G. 10. Miranda M. 7. Paz F. 9. Posse F.	21. Heras B. (G) 55. Reyes M. 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 6. Burdisso M. 14. Zuniga E. 34. Heredia G. 30. Valverde J. 16. Castro L. 11. Perinciolo F. 9. Ayunta F.
Substitutes
13. Ayala M. 50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 17. Zambrano J.	33. Cabeza E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 19. Cavallaro J. 77. Hernandez B. 5. Medina O. 10. Mendoza E. 8. Molinas I. A. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 29. Ratotti F. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Zubeldia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Blanc G. ⚽, Paz F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reyes M. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
46', Castro L. ↓, Molinas I. A. ↑,
56', Zuniga E. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
57', Rubio E. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
66', Miranda M. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
67', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
69', Heredia G. 🟨,
71', Perinciolo F. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
76', Mohor J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
84', Paz F. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
84', Blanc G. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
90+3', Bedoya A. 🟨,
90+5', Ferro L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Delfín has had a series of home games.

In this match, Macará is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Deportivo Macará - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TTWWT
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Emelec - Delfín	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Delfín - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.11.25	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	3:0
18.10.25	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	0:4
10.08.25	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	0:0
20.04.25	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	0:0
07.10.24	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	0:2
19.04.24	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	1:1
25.07.22	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:2

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