Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 8

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Delfín		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.03	3.2	2.54
	3.13	3.25	2.29	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.38
	2.97	3.15	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.92)	3.11 ↓ (3.8)	2.4 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
31.5%

Draw
29.8%

LDU Quito
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.6%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Delfín - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 6. Burdisso M. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 30. Valverde J. 9. Ayunta F. 19. Cavallaro J. 16. Castro L. 11. Perinciolo F. 10. Mendoza E.	1. Valle G. (G) 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 44. Segovia L. 33. Quinonez L. (C) 15. Villamil G. 8. Pretell J. 23. Quinonez Y. 9. Medina J. 99. Luna Tobar C. 16. Deyverson
Substitutes
7. Alvarez A. 33. Cabeza E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 5. Medina O. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 29. Ratotti F. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.	10. Alvarado A. 26. Caicedo J. 20. Cornejo F. 13. Corozo J. 31. de la Cruz D. I. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 3. Mina R. 5. Minda K. 25. Ortiz P. 14. Quintero J. 7. Redes R.
Coaches
Zubeldia J.	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Zubeldia J. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. ⚽,
24', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
27', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
44', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Medina J. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
46', Pretell J. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
46', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
46', Quinonez L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
46', Perinciolo F. ↓, Cabeza E. ↑,
54', Heras B. 🟨,
68', Cavallaro J. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
70', Segovia L. 🟨,
74', Rubio E. 🟨,
82', Mendoza E. ↓, Morocho J. ↑,
82', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
84', Cabeza E. 🟨,
90', Ayunta F. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1.

Delfín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LDU Quito is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.6%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Leones del Norte - Delfín	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Delfín - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLLW
- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Always Ready - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Leones del Norte - LDU Quito	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.07.25	Delfín - LDU Quito	0:4
08.03.25	LDU Quito - Delfín	3:0
29.09.24	Delfín - LDU Quito	3:2
15.04.24	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1
08.10.23	Delfín - LDU Quito	0:0
08.05.23	LDU Quito - Delfín	1:1
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.23	LDU Quito - Delfín	4:0

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