Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 7

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Leones del Norte		Delfín

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.5	Watch
	2.08	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.24	2.91	3.84
	2.23	2.82	3.82	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.5
	2.19	2.91	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.34)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)	3.68 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
42.8%

Draw
32.1%

Delfín
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Leones del Norte - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Angulo J. L. (G) 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 25. Kreiman B. 32. Aguas A. 17. Mairongo J. 6. Griffa E. 34. Portocarrero S. 19. Pepinos E. 40. Anangono J. (C) 99. Solano C.	21. Heras B. (G) 55. Reyes M. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 6. Burdisso M. 17. Rubio E. 30. Valverde J. 18. Morocho J. 34. Heredia G. 19. Cavallaro J. 11. Perinciolo F. 9. Ayunta F.
Substitutes
15. Araujo I. 9. Arrieta S. 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 11. Caramuto M. 16. De La Cruz M. 20. Mendez M. 44. Mina K. 45. Nazareno L. (G) 3. Vargas F. 8. Velez C.	33. Cabeza E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 16. Castro L. 77. Hernandez B. 5. Medina O. 10. Mendoza E. 50. Ozaeta T. 29. Ratotti F. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.
Coaches
Mendez E.	Zubeldia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Reyes M. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
30', Solano C. ↓, Velez C. ↑,
39', Bedoya A. 🟨,
39', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Pepinos E. ⚽, Mairongo J. (A),
59', Hernandez B. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
65', Griffa E. 🟨,
67', Heredia G. 🟥,
73', Cavallaro J. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
76', Mairongo J. 🟨,
77', Mairongo J. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
78', Griffa E. ↓, Cabeza J. ↑,
78', Aguas A. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
90', Portocarrero S. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
90+7', Monserrat N. 🟥,
90+9', Burdisso M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

Leones del Norte is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Delfín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leones del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leones del Norte could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.03.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Leones del Norte - LDU Quito	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTLT
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.03.26	Delfín - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Emelec - Delfín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWT

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