Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 24

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Delfín		Orense

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.50	2.90	2.60
	2.62	2.88	2.72	Watch
	2.83	3.05	2.8
	2.64	2.89	2.94	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.7
	2.74	2.94	2.74	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.41)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)	2.73 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
34.5%

Draw
31.7%

Orense
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Delfín - Orense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Delfín (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Delfín (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 34. Heredia G. 18. Morocho J. 78. Ushina K. 10. Luna D. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F.	12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 5. Lorenzo A. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S. 14. Pluas E. 7. Vasquez S. 13. Mena A. 19. Bermudez M. 11. Herrera A.
Substitutes
3. Aimar D. 7. Alvarez A. 31. Arce J. 51. Banguera C. 98. Cabeza E. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 20. Molano I. 11. Perinciolo F. 99. Tenorio L. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.	24. Achilier G. 30. Burgoa V. 6. Callegari S. 23. Chuchuca W. 60. Cobos J. (G) 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 25. Jaramilo R. 57. Mairongo S. 51. Ortiz C. 21. Rostagno G. 59. Vera J.
Coaches
Leon J.	Robles A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bedoya A. ⚽, Ushina K. (A),
28', Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
40', Bedoya A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Heredia G. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
64', Alvarez A. 🟨,
65', Mena A. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
67', Luna D. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
67', Ozaeta T. ↓, Perinciolo F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Bermudez M. ⚽, Vasquez S. (A),
80', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
82', Jaramilo R. 🟥,
84', Bermudez M. ↓, Rostagno G. ↑,
85', Pluas E. ↓, Chuchuca W. ↑,
86', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟥,
90+4', Morocho J. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 0.

Recent performances by Delfín have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1 match, drew 10 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Delfín - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.08.26	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Delfín - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW
- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.07.26	Libertad Loja - Orense	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
23.07.26	Orense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Orense	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Orense - Emelec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.26	Orense - Delfín	0:0
25.08.25	Orense - Delfín	3:1
04.05.25	Delfín - Orense	0:0
01.11.24	Orense - Delfín	0:0
12.05.24	Delfín - Orense	0:1
05.08.23	Orense - Delfín	0:0
27.02.23	Delfín - Orense	1:1

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