Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 23

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Libertad Loja		Orense

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.82	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.61
	2.9	3.06	2.55	Watch
	2.95	3	2.55
	2.74	3.2	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	2.47 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
32.8%

Draw
29.6%

Orense
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Libertad Loja - Orense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (C) 17. Patta E. 6. Caicedo B. 2. Morinigo R. 19. Quinonez O. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 70. Branda V. 63. Valencia C. 30. Bravo J. 49. Coronel D. 33. Chere A.	22. Ortiz J. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 6. Callegari S. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 21. Rostagno G. 25. Jaramilo R. 11. Herrera A. 19. Bermudez M. 13. Mena A.
Substitutes
52. Bao A. (G) 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 66. Estacio J. 25. Lucas M. 7. Orejuela C. 80. Pineda Arana X. E. 18. Quinonez Y.	24. Achilier G. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 57. Mairongo S. 51. Ortiz C. 14. Pluas E. 2. Quinonez B. 4. Quinonez S. 33. Quintero D. 12. Silva R. (G) 59. Vera J. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S.
Coaches
Buch J. P.	Robles A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Branda V. ⚽, Coronel D. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Chere A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jaramilo R. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
60', Chere A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
60', Branda V. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
60', Coronel D. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
69', Rostagno G. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,
73', Bravo J. ↓, Pineda Arana X. E. ↑,
81', Valencia C. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Cortez Casierra G. J. ⚽, Caicedo E. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3.

Libertad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWLWT
- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
23.07.26	Orense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Orense	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Orense - Emelec	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Manta - Orense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.04.26	Orense - Libertad Loja	2:1
21.12.25	Orense - Libertad Loja	3:2
05.10.25	Libertad Loja - Orense	2:0
13.07.25	Orense - Libertad Loja	0:1
15.03.25	Libertad Loja - Orense	4:1
18.10.24	Orense - Libertad Loja	1:0
27.04.24	Libertad Loja - Orense	1:1

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