The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
De Graafschap 41.9%
Draw 23.8%
Den Bosch 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
22.9%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
22.3%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Graafschap's form might have worsened.
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Den Bosch's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Den Bosch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
De Graafschap - Den Bosch Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Graafschap (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Wieckhoff J. 3. Besselink R. 14. Bolk G. 16. Martens N. 8. Warmerdam D. 27. Ahmeti N. 10. de Jong F. (C) 21. Symons K. 7. van Zijl B. 9. Kania J.
1. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. (C) 18. Eikelboom H. 25. Broker S. 3. Maas S. 55. Hessels G. 10. De Corte D. 16. Wang B. 17. Semedo E. 8. Monzialo K. 33. Laros M.
Substitutes
23. Diemers M. 18. Eijken D. 20. Finocchiaro G. 32. Grotenhuis T. 4. Hardeman J. 34. Hartgers N. 31. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 40. Kwint K. 22. Reverson P. (G) 38. Smits M. 28. Triep J.
54. De Kruijff J. 41. de Rooij K. 11. de Vries J. 27. Hoffman L. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 21. Murre F. (G) 7. Sille G. 66. van Balsfoort R. (G) 4. Van Heertum J.
Coaches
Duivenvoorden T.
Schreuder B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Broker S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, van Zijl B. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
42', Semedo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hessels G. ↓, De Kruijff J. ↑,
60', van Zijl B. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
60', Ahmeti N. ↓, Hartgers N. ↑,
60', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Diemers M. ↑,
61', Semedo E. ↓, de Vries J. ↑,
61', Broker S. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
67', Bolk G. 🟨,
70', Kania J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
74', Maas S. ↓, Hoffman L. ↑,
80', Warmerdam D. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,
85', Wang B. ↓, Van Heertum J. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 20th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 3.
Recent results have been tough for De Graafschap (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Den Bosch have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Den Bosch could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
De Graafschap is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for De Graafschap: Kok T.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for De Graafschap: Meerstadt J.
(Ankle Injury)
Schoppema L.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Den Bosch: Akmum R.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:24 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for De Graafschap against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:7 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).
Netherlands
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Wieggers T. (G) 
Wieckhoff J. 
Martens N. 
Ahmeti N. 
Fortes J. (C) 
Wang B. 
Monzialo K. 
Finocchiaro G. 
Kaninda N. 
Reverson P. (G) 
de Vries J. 
Karlsson Grach S. 
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