Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 4


	Den Bosch		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.90	3.50
	1.68	4.05	4.25	Watch
	1.73	4.45	4.16
	1.78	4.27	3.74	Watch
	1.7	4.35	4
	1.62	4.34	4.51	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)	4.24 ↑ (4.17)	4.08 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
55.2%

Draw
22%

Helmond Sport
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

22.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

22.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Den Bosch - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 18. Eikelboom H. 25. Broker S. 33. Laros M. 16. Wang B. 10. De Corte D. 6. Felida K. (C) 2. Barglan S. 8. Monzialo K. 40. Boumassaoudi I.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 4. Koglin B. (C) 43. Landheer T. 5. Poll T. 7. van der Sluijs J. 6. Ludwig M. 44. van der Velde X. 19. Ingason H. 11. Cicero L. 9. Bajrami L.
Substitutes
55. Hessels G. 27. Hoffman L. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 3. Maas S. 21. Murre F. (G) 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 66. van Balsfoort R. (G) 4. Van Heertum J. 19. Wolters R.	22. Dizdarevic A. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 34. Essakkati T. 14. Golic L. 94. Lenaerts M. 8. Llonch P. 35. Meissner N. 2. van Bree R. 21. van Sleeuwen W. (G) 26. van Zutphen D.
Coaches
Schreuder B.	Frans F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Broker S. ⚽, Laros M. (A),
17', Boumassaoudi I. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Fortes J. (Own goal),
23', 2 - 1, Koglin B. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Landheer T. ↓, Golic L. ↑,
46', Bajrami L. ↓, Lenaerts M. ↑,
46', Ingason H. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
59', Wang B. ↓, Maas S. ↑,
59', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Hoffman L. ↑,
69', Ludwig M. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
76', Golic L. 🟨,
80', Dekkers S. ↓, van Bree R. ↑,
88', Felida K. 🟨,
89', Monzialo K. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
89', De Corte D. ↓, Hessels G. ↑,
90', Cicero L. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 2.

Den Bosch is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Helmond Sport have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Den Bosch for this game.

Doubtful / questionable for Den Bosch: Akmum R. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Den Bosch has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:22 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Den Bosch against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Den Bosch: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Den Bosch - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Heracles Almelo - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	4:2 ✺
28.08.26	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Helmond Sport - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.26	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	2:0
21.10.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0
02.05.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0
06.12.24	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	0:0
02.02.24	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	0:0
18.08.23	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	1:0
14.04.23	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:2

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