The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dordrecht 40.9%
Draw 24.1%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
24.2%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
23.4%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Lechkar A. 44. Hardley B. 3. Henderikx S. 5. Mpanzu B. 4. Pinas J. (C) 10. Ouarghi A. 7. Venema N. 8. Vugts S. 21. Vetkal M. 29. Felicia N.
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 4. Menu M. (C) 3. Natali A. 5. Elkjaer F. 6. Robbemond R. 8. Oerip J. 11. de Wit T. 10. de Wit H. 7. Toppenberg K. 9. Kovacs B.
Substitutes
14. Bae S. 28. Coremans T. (G) 13. Hogervorst D. (G) 6. Riccio L. 16. Roman L. 11. Rossi N. 22. van Aken J. 18. van Asten R. 23. Woudenberg L. 17. Younous Y.
14. Atikallah R. 22. Bergraaf J. 20. Budko B. 15. Esajas J. 12. Inge K. 17. Roede M. 16. Schilder K. (G) 23. Schipper J. (G) 21. Sijbrands J. 18. Simons S. 19. van den Ban Y.
Coaches
Nuijten P.
Peereboom F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
3', Menu M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Kovacs B. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Lechkar A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Natali A. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
28', Ouarghi A. 🟨,
33', Vetkal M. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
34', Hardley B. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
35', 1 - 2, Rossi N. ⚽, Henderikx S. (A),
45+1', 1 - 3, Kovacs B. ⚽, de Wit H. (A),
45+3', 2 - 3, Ouarghi A. ⚽, Mpanzu B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Lechkar A. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
46', Toppenberg K. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
57', Oerip J. 🟨,
58', Felicia N. ↓, Roman L. ↑,
60', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
69', Natali A. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
73', 2 - 4, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
77', Mpanzu B. ↓, Riccio L. ↑,
80', 3 - 4, Riccio L. ⚽, Rossi N. (A),
81', de Wit T. ↓, Atikallah R. ↑,
81', de Wit H. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
81', 3 - 5, Bergraaf J. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
84', Ouarghi A. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 6, Robbemond R. ⚽, Zwart J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.
Recent form of Dordrecht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jong AZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
de Bie J.
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Dordrecht: 0.65%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Jong AZ
10
4
1
5
22:18
4
13
19
Dordrecht
10
2
2
6
13:27
-14
8
Last Results with these Odds
Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Raatsie C. (G) 
Mpanzu B. 
Ouarghi A. 
Vetkal M. 
Felicia N. 
Natali A. 
Elkjaer F. 
Kovacs B. 
Bae S. 
Rossi N. 
Budko B. 
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