The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Den Bosch 42.4%
Draw 25.4%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
24.1%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
23.7%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.5%
5.9%
17.6%
Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 56.3% โ 96.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Den Bosch (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (C) 22. Fortes J. 4. van Grunsven T. 27. Akmum R. 5. de Groot N. 6. Felida K. 11. Verbeek D. 10. van Leeuwen T. 33. Laros M. 51. El Allachi C. 8. Monzialo K.
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Dijkstra E. 3. van Duijl B. 4. Dekker M. 5. Esajas J. 10. Boogaard K. 8. Kwakman D. 6. Twisk N. (C) 7. van der Klaauw D. 11. Bouziane W. 9. Zeefuik L.
Substitutes
1. Bakker M. (G) 26. el Bakkali Z. 48. Elum S. (G) 19. Kuijpers D. 3. Maas S. 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 42. Van Koeverden L. 16. Wang B. 39. Wolters R.
18. Hamdi Y. 15. Inge K. 14. Menu M. 20. Robbemond R. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 21. Smits A. 17. Toppenberg K. 19. van den Ban Y. 12. Zwart J.
Coaches
Landvreugd U.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Monzialo K. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
38', 2 - 1, van Grunsven T. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
43', van Grunsven T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bouziane W. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
46', Zeefuik L. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
46', Kwakman D. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Toppenberg K. ⚽, van der Klaauw D. (A),
62', Monzialo K. 🟨,
62', Dijkstra E. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
68', El Allachi C. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
69', Verbeek D. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
79', Monzialo K. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, van der Klaauw D. ⚽, van den Ban Y. (A),
80', van der Klaauw D. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
85', Akmum R. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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van de Merbel P. (C) 
Fortes J. 
Felida K. 
Monzialo K. 
Wang B. 
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