The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 29.6%
Draw 25.4%
De Graafschap 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
24.7%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
23.8%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 35% โ 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Inge K. 3. Menu M. 4. van Duijl B. 5. Esajas J. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. Boogaard K. 7. Hartog J. 10. Robbemond R. 11. Toppenberg K. 9. van Duijn S.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 21. Symons K. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 7. Simons J. 2. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.
Substitutes
17. Bouziane W. 20. Hamdi Y. 14. Mastoras E. 16. Schilder K. (G) 23. Schipper J. (G) 18. Smits A. 19. van den Ban Y. 15. van der Klaauw D. 12. Zwart J.
20. Braem T. 18. Bultman S. 22. de Jong F. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 33. Rijks M. 5. Schoppema L. 9. Theodoridis D. 26. van der Heide A.
Coaches
Echteld L.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Robbemond R. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
45', Raterink O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Inge K. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Boersma B. ⚽,
53', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. ⚽, Menu M. (A),
62', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
62', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
69', Robbemond R. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
69', Hartog J. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Raterink O. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
79', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
79', El Kadiri I. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
87', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
88', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
De Graafschap - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Zeggen K. (G) 
El Kadiri I. 
Kaninda N. 
Theodoridis D. 
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