Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: De Herdgang (Eindhoven)

Referee: Ordelmans J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jong PSV		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.9	2.32	Watch
	2.45	4.00	2.30
	2.52	3.85	2.35	Watch
	2.59	4.26	2.38
	2.49	4.2	2.35	Watch
	2.5	4.15	2.25
	2.55	4.05	2.24	Watch
	2.49	3.85	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.2)	4.03 ↑ (3.85)	2.31 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
36.8%

Draw
23%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

23.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

22.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong PSV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olij N. (G) 2. Penso K. 3. Merien F. (C) 4. Monamay M. 5. Verhulst G. 8. Fernandez N. 6. Sidibe S. 7. Kluit F. 10. Cornecion S. 11. Santos A. 9. Jones A.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Esajas J. 8. Oerip J. (C) 6. Robbemond R. 7. de Wit T. 10. de Wit H. 11. Bouziane W. 9. Kovacs B.
Substitutes
24. Beerens J. 14. Bresser M. 19. Bro Hansen M. 17. Dumbili S. 25. Holseter-Karlsen P. 23. Kuijsten S. (G) 21. Manuhutu R. 18. Mulders B. 16. Ngom K. (G) 22. Oldenstam L. 20. Oteng-Mensah K. 15. Stam D.	22. Bergraaf J. 20. Budko B. 18. Elkjaer F. 23. Homan N. (G) 12. Inge K. 14. Menu M. 17. Roede M. 21. Sijbrands J. 15. Simons S. 19. van den Ban Y. 16. Zeggen K. (G)
Coaches
Schaars S.	Peereboom F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Monamay M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Jones A. ⚽, Kluit F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bouziane W. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
54', Robbemond R. 🟨,
56', van den Ban Y. 🟨,
60', Robbemond R. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
60', Kovacs B. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
60', Kluit F. ↓, Dumbili S. ↑,
60', Jones A. ↓, Bro Hansen M. ↑,
60', Natali A. ↓, Elkjaer F. ↑,
68', Verhulst G. ↓, Manuhutu R. ↑,
69', Sidibe S. ↓, Mulders B. ↑,
83', Cornecion S. ↓, Holseter-Karlsen P. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Bergraaf J. ⚽, Zwart J. (A),
86', Esajas J. ↓, Inge K. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jong AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Jong PSV: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13
12	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Waalwijk - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Jong PSV - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTTW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:6 ✺
31.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.04.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV	0:2
29.08.25	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0
07.04.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV	2:2
25.11.24	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
08.03.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV	4:1
24.11.23	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2
27.02.23	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:3

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