Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Referee: Jimenez Lazo F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Concepción		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.20	2.20
	2.95	3.3	2.25
	3.35	3.36	2.3
	3.25	3.24	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.2
	3.22	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.98)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
28.8%

Draw
29.2%

Coquimbo Unido
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 3. Carrasco D. 29. Varas D. 15. Montecinos J. 18. Rodriguez Y. 16. Sandoval M. (C) 30. Espinoza E. 27. Acosta D. 20. Henriquez J.	13. Sanchez D. (C) 26. Soza L. 4. Hernandez E. 2. Gazzolo B. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 15. Zavala C. 18. Rodriguez P. 14. Cordero S. 30. Chandia B. 29. Pons F.
Substitutes
24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 31. Fuentes N. 19. Jara A. 8. Martinez F. 23. Riquelme C. 7. Romero F. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	19. Arancibia J. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 1. Flores G. (G) 9. Johansen N. 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 31. Pereira D. 10. Vadala G. 23. Zepeda M.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Caputto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Camargo A. ⚽,
26', Zavala C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Acosta D. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
46', Varas D. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
46', Montecinos J. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
50', Pons F. 🟨,
57', Pons F. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
57', Rodriguez P. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
59', Soza L. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Cavalleri M. (A),
64', Henriquez J. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
68', Zavala C. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
70', Cornejo J. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
76', Cordero S. 🟨,
76', Chandia B. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
85', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
87', Martinez F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 1.

Deportes Concepción has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Coquimbo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of home games.

Coquimbo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31
11	Coquimbo	23	8	5	10	31:32	-1	29

Last Results with these Odds

Coquimbo Unido - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
16.08.26	Cobresal - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWW
- Coquimbo Unido
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Platense	0:1 penalties ✺
12.08.26	Platense - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.08.26	Palestino - Coquimbo Unido	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
05.06.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:2
29.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:1
Chilean Primera Division
28.02.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	0:1
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.02.16	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:2
12.09.15	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	0:0
01.03.15	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	2:0

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