Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 15

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes Concepción		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.60
	2.80	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.61	3.50	2.75
	2.73	3.7	2.34	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.50
	2.76	3.50	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.08)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	2.51 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
35.5%

Draw
27.3%

Deportes Limache
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.2%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Concepción's performance.

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Limache might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Concepción that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Limache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Limache (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 18. Rodriguez Y. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 24. Cavalleri M. 20. Henriquez J. 30. Espinoza E. 9. Escobar C. (C)	17. Gonzalez C. (G) 25. Llanten M. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 4. Flores M. 5. Alfonzo A. 6. Fuentes C. 16. Jean David 15. Alvarez V. 9. Sosa G. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
40. Caceres F. 1. Cesar (G) 19. Jara A. 32. Larrivey J. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 23. Rojas J. 26. Romero L. 13. Suarez C. 11. Vejar B.	26. Arturia M. 1. Borquez M. (G) 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 8. Montecinos J. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Henriquez J. ⚽, Cavalleri M. (A),
31', Alvarez V. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Llanten M. ⚽,
68', Flores M. 🟨,
78', Escobar C. ↓, Larrivey J. ↑,
78', Cavalleri M. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Davila Carvajal M. (A),
82', Parot A. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Jara A. ⚽, Larrivey J. (A),
90+2', Espinoza E. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
90+2', Henriquez J. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 2, Jean David ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 7).

Deportes Concepción has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Limache is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportes Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Copa de la Liga
05.06.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.05.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Deportes Concepción - Everton de Viña	0:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
09.05.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Concepción	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Deportes Limache - Everton de Viña	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	Deportes Limache - Coquimbo Unido	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
11.05.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
03.09.23	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	1:1
14.09.22	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	0:1
06.06.22	Deportes Limache - Deportes Concepción	0:0
23.11.21	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	1:1
06.08.21	Deportes Limache - Deportes Concepción	1:0

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