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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 56.4%
Draw 24.8%
San Luis de Quillota 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
25.7%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
25.1%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
20%
6.7%
Deportes La Serena - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 50.9% โ 95.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 5 - 62.5%). San Luis (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 23. Pinto M. 3. Ferreyra N. 5. Alarcon L. (C) 16. Gutierrez C. 4. Rojas J. 6. Diaz S. 14. Chamorro F. 22. Ovando L. 9. Moreira E. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A.
12. Garcia M. (C) 18. Avello G. 2. Navarrete J. 6. Vergara C. 4. Osorio R. 14. Pastenes F. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 7. Juarez F. 30. Larrain M. 19. Novero G. 17. Flores F.
Substitutes
12. Cerda F. (G) 39. Contreras B. 33. Cordero D. 19. Cortes M. 18. Gallegos S. 30. Mardones F. 8. Rivera M. 15. Villarroel M. 2. Zanini A.
27. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 21. Araya J. 22. Bustos G. 9. Carreno M. 1. Retamal D. (G) 16. Rodriguez A. 3. Sarria G. 35. Silva L. 28. Vargas V.
Coaches
Paulucci C.
Munoz D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Pinto M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽, Jara Gonzalez G. A. (A),
33', Osorio R. 🟥,
37', Juarez F. ↓, Sarria G. ↑,
41', Cabrera Figueroa L. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Flores F. ↓, Araya J. ↑,
46', Pastenes F. ↓, Carreno M. ↑,
46', Larrain M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
59', Ovando L. ↓, Gallegos S. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Gallegos S. (A),
69', 4 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽, Gallegos S. (A),
72', Pinto M. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
72', Gutierrez C. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
75', Zanini A. 🟨,
79', 4 - 1, Araya J. (Pen),
84', Navarrete J. ↓, Aguila Bastias Y. M. ↑,
90+1', Rojas J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
90+1', Moreira E. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
90+4', Sanhueza Mora E. A. 🟨,
90+6', Gallegos S. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Deportes La Serena is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).