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Current Win Probability
Palestino 47.5%
Draw 26.9%
Deportes La Serena 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
27.8%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
27.5%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Palestino - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Deportes La Serena (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 23. Leon J. 18. Gallegos S. 8. Meza N. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 15. Montes Romero F. T. 27. Munder C. 19. Da Silva N.
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 2. Zanini A. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Salazar Y. 28. Orellana J. 9. Henriquez A. 14. Chamorro F. 8. Escalante G. 10. Vargas J. (C) 11. Rubio D.
Substitutes
30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
33. Delgado R. 24. Diaz F. 6. Diaz S. 26. Dinamarca F. 16. Gutierrez J. 23. Marin M. 19. Sandoval B. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 34. Stefanelli N.
Coaches
Farre G.
Gutierrez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Carrasco B. ⚽, Garguez Gomez I. A. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Montes Romero F. T. ⚽,
31', Zanini A. ↓, Delgado R. ↑,
39', 3 - 0, Da Silva N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Chamorro F. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
46', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
46', Alarcon L. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
54', Rubio D. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
64', Da Silva N. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
64', Gallegos S. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
67', Carrasco B. ↓, Araya M. ↑,
76', Munder C. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 4 - 0, Munder C. ⚽,
78', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
79', Orellana J. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Leon J. ⚽, Meza N. (A),
84', Roco E. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Henriquez A. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of home games.
Palestino could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
Watch
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Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 
Gallegos S. 
Da Silva N. 
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