Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 13

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)


	Deportes La Serena		Unión San Felipe

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	1.86	3.39	4.3
	1.86	3.39	4.3
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.89	3.41	3.89	Watch
	1.88	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.35)	3.34 ↓ (4.03)	3.92 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
49%

Draw
27.5%

Unión San Felipe
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

22.7%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

21.1%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes La Serena's form might have worsened.

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión San Felipe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Deportes La Serena - Unión San Felipe Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportes La Serena will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Sanhueza D. 17. Guerrero E. (C) 5. Alarcon L. 3. Osorio R. 7. Lobos C. 21. Espinoza E. 10. Gallegos S. 8. Molina S. 16. Figueroa J. 9. Altamirano L.	12. Ibacache M. (G) 28. Guaiquil N. 13. Meza I. (C) 16. Silva Alamos M. I. 18. Herrera A. 22. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 6. Herrera H. 20. Demateis V. 11. Riveros B. 9. Huanca C. 7. Sandoval M.
Substitutes
27. Dubo Vergara R. M. 37. Gallardo G. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 11. Lopez P. 22. Ramirez M. 28. Rinaldi L. 31. Tapia J. (G)	24. Alvarez V. 10. Gomez F. 5. Leon A. 2. Muller I. 19. Salazar D. 30. Vasquez Quilodran I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', Guaiquil N. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Altamirano L. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Altamirano L. ⚽,
28', Herrera H. 🟨,
32', 3 - 0, Altamirano L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Huanca C. ↓, Salazar D. ↑,
64', Lobos C. ↓, Gallardo G. ↑,
64', Figueroa J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
73', Ramirez M. 🟨,
75', Molina S. ↓, Dubo Vergara R. M. ↑,
77', Guaiquil N. ↓, Muller I. ↑,
77', Herrera H. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
90', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.05.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes La Serena	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Deportes La Serena - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWW
- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.05.24	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Universidad de Concepción - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Unión San Felipe - Rangers de Talca	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Temuco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.09.23	Deportes La Serena - Unión San Felipe	2:0
03.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Deportes La Serena	1:1
19.10.19	Deportes La Serena - Unión San Felipe	4:0
02.06.19	Unión San Felipe - Deportes La Serena	1:1
04.08.18	Unión San Felipe - Deportes La Serena	1:0
10.02.18	Deportes La Serena - Unión San Felipe	1:0
29.10.17	Deportes La Serena - Unión San Felipe	0:1

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