The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 33.8%
Draw 29.3%
Deportes La Serena 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
26.4%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Recoleta's form might have worsened.
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Recoleta - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Saez I. (G) 27. Servetti C. 13. Cornejo F. 18. Cepeda C. 11. Viveros D. 8. Martin F. (C) 10. Ragusa F. 28. Fuenzalida I. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 17. Carvajal N. 9. Estigarribia G.
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Sanhueza D. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Guerrero E. (C) 3. Osorio R. 10. Gallegos S. 21. Espinoza E. 6. Diaz S. 16. Figueroa J. 9. Altamirano L. 8. Molina S.
Substitutes
20. Campos V. 5. Hernandez A. 14. Lara I. 21. Marin C. 25. Narr J. (G) 23. Navarro C. 16. Riveros R.
27. Dubo Vergara R. M. 37. Gallardo G. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 22. Ramirez M. 28. Rinaldi L. 31. Tapia J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Ragusa F. 🟨,
45+2', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carvajal N. ↓, Navarro C. ↑,
52', Molina S. 🟨,
69', Cepeda C. 🟨,
75', Salinas Aguilar O. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
80', Fuenzalida I. ↓, Campos V. ↑,
81', Molina S. ↓, Rinaldi L. ↑,
81', Riveros R. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', Altamirano L. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division).
Deportes Recoleta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Deportes La Serena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Deportes Recoleta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Deportes La Serena to win the game is with odds 2.48.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportes Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Watch
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Saez I. (G) 
Servetti C. 
Cepeda C. 
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