Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 1

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Deportes La Serena		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.64	3.25	2.19
	3.45	3.33	2.11
	3.25	3	2.15
	3.5	3.13	2.14	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (4.59)	3.19 ↓ (3.45)	2.14 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
27%

Draw
29.3%

Universidad Católica
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

26.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Católica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Deportes La Serena (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Deportes La Serena (1.68) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 2. Zanini A. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Salazar Y. 21. Gutierrez B. 6. Diaz S. 8. Escalante G. 23. Marin M. 10. Vargas J. (C) 14. Chamorro F. 16. Gutierrez J.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 3. Mena E. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 28. Cerezo B. 10. Palavecino M. 15. Cuevas C. 17. Medel G. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. 11. Montes C.
Substitutes
15. Contreras B. 25. Cordero D. 34. Delgado R. 26. Dinamarca F. 28. Orellana N. 29. Pinto M. 11. Rubio D. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Velasquez M.	23. Asta-Buruaga T. 35. Corral D. 25. Farias A. 2. Gonzalez D. 14. Martinez J. A. 27. Melo D. (G) . Rossel J. 30. Valencia D. 20. Valencia J.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Diaz S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Giani J. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Chamorro F. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
58', Giani J. 🟨,
58', Escalante G. 🟨,
61', Palavecino M. 🟨,
65', Diaz J. 🟨,
68', Marin M. ↓, Contreras B. ↑,
69', Gutierrez B. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
69', Salazar Y. ↓, Dinamarca F. ↑,
70', Diaz S. 🟨,
72', Lanzillotta F. 🟨,
76', Palavecino M. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
76', Rossel J. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
81', Mena E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
84', Gutierrez J. ↓, Delgado R. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Zampedri F. ⚽, Cuevas C. (A),
89', Zanini A. 🟨,
89', Cuevas C. 🟨,
90+4', Zampedri F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2.

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	50:33	17	42
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	2:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.12.25	Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Deportes La Serena - Palestino	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Super Cup
25.01.26	Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	2:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.12.25	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Universidad Católica - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
08.11.25	Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica	0:1
25.05.25	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	1:3
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
10.09.22	Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica	0:4
09.04.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	0:2
13.11.21	Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica	0:2
07.08.21	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	4:3

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