Match Info

Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)


	Deportes Limache		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	2	3.4	3
	1.92	3.65	3.4	Watch
	1.88	3.93	3.48
				Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.05	3.88	3.17	Watch
	1.92	3.65	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.79)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	3.32 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
47.2%

Draw
25%

Cobreloa
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Limache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	14.3%	19%

Deportes Limache - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Limache: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 7 - 70%). Cobreloa (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cobreloa (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Limache (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Cobreloa (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Peranic N. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 3. Paz G. 2. Aguirre A. 11. Fritz F. 13. Romero F. 5. Sandoval M. 34. Pinares C. 31. Silva B. 9. Da Silva N. 19. Castro D.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (C) 11. Verhoeven E. 24. Garcia L. 4. Tapia B. 14. Rojas G. 21. Muga C. 23. Navarrete G. 35. Bustamante B. 25. Acevedo D. 9. Ponce W. 20. Barrera L.
Substitutes
10. Guerra L. 20. Jara A. 25. Llanten M. 33. Morales B. (G) 32. Parot A. 35. Poblete G. 24. Portilla D. 15. Salgado H. 4. Torrealba B.	8. Cornejo L. 5. Gonzalez R. 28. Matamoros F. 18. Melendez J. 31. Salazar A. (G) 39. Tapia M. 36. Tejerina A. 15. Valdes A.
Coaches
Rivero V.	Bravo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Da Silva N. ⚽, Pinares C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pinares C. ↓, Portilla D. ↑,
46', Ponce W. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
63', Tapia B. 🟨,
65', Barrera L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
74', Fritz F. ↓, Parot A. ↑,
74', Castro D. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
74', Sandoval M. ↓, Guerra L. ↑,
77', Verhoeven E. ↓, Tejerina A. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Da Silva N. (Pen),
85', 3 - 0, Jara A. ⚽,
86', Da Silva N. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
89', Pacheco G. 🟨,
90', Valdes A. 🟨,
90', Salgado H. 🟨,
90+3', Muga C. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Limache have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cobreloa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Limache is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Limache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
22.06.25	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.06.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.06.25	Unión Española - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
23.05.25	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLWTW
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.06.25	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa	5:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.06.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.25	Deportes Temuco - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
08.06.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Limache	1:3

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