Match Info

Date: 13 September 2021, Monday


	Deportes Quindío		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.73	3.3	4.75
	1.84	3.1	4.5
	1.86	3.05	4.4
	1.9	3.28	4.88
	1.85	3.1	4.6
	1.86	3.28	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	4.53 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Quindío
50.4%

Draw
29.1%

Deportivo Pasto
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

18.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Quindío that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pasto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Deportes Quindío - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Quindío: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19).

Recent matches Deportes Quindío is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Pasto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportes Quindío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportes Quindío is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportes Quindío won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Quindío won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera A
04.09.21	América de Cali - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
27.08.21	Deportes Quindío - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Quindío	1:0 ✺
17.08.21	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:3 ✺
06.08.21	Atlético Huila - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLT
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Copa
09.09.21	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	3:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.09.21	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.09.21	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	2:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.08.21	Patriotas - Deportivo Pasto	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
25.08.21	Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.07.13	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Quindío	1:0
01.02.13	Deportes Quindío - Deportivo Pasto	0:1
03.08.12	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Quindío	N/A

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