The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 38.5%
Draw 28.8%
Deportes Copiapó 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
28.6%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
28.8%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
16.7%
58.3%
Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapó Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Copiapó will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Copiapó: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 22. Tati D. 3. Guerrero N. 20. Cavero H. 12. Alvarado F. 18. Herrera H. 4. Alucema G. 14. Plaza D. 2. Quiroz I. 30. Arias D. 23. Barrios N.
22. Temperini N. (G) 20. Filla M. 4. Ortiz A. 17. Kimura N. 15. Santander J. 6. Zamorano C. 8. Rios A. 10. Ledezma I. 7. Ross C. (C) 9. Palacios L. 28. Espoz F.
Substitutes
8. Acevedo D. 15. Delgado J. 16. Gonzalez J. 26. Moreno C. 6. Orellana F. 13. Quezada M. 9. Zeineddin N.
21. Fernandez E. 1. Leyton R. (G) 27. Lopez M. 24. Orellana R. 26. Perez G. 23. Rojas M. 3. Suarez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Zamorano C. 🟨,
36', Alucema G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Arias D. ⚽,
45+2', Rios A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rios A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
46', Zamorano C. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
54', Quiroz I. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Espoz F. ⚽,
65', Herrera H. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
77', Ross C. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
77', Espoz F. ↓, Suarez N. ↑,
79', Perez G. 🟨,
88', Alucema G. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
88', Quiroz I. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
90+5', Palacios L. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0.
Deportes Santa Cruz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Copiapó has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Copiapó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.6:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).