Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Peru	ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Deportes Tolima		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	6.5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	6	Watch
	1.62	3.34	7.52
	1.62	3.4	7.2	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6	Watch
	1.65	3.62	6.21	Watch
	1.63	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	6.49 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
57.8%

Draw
27.7%

FBC Melgar
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Deportes Tolima - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 71. Arrieta C. 3. Quinones J. 2. Angulo A. 20. Hernandez J. 28. Miranda L. 6. Trujillo C. 80. Rovira B. 23. Castro A. 11. Lencina G. 18. Perez K.	12. Caceda C. (G) 33. Lazo M. 2. Barrios P. 6. Gonzalez L. 27. Cabanillas N. 7. Bordacahar C. 24. Tandazo W. 15. Orzan H. 26. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 10. Martinez T. 11. Castro F.
Substitutes
25. Arroyo A. 1. Cuesta W. (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 19. Mosquera F. 24. Parra Osorio A. 4. Quinones J. 27. Ramirez G. 8. Valencia E. 33. Velasquez S.	28. Arias A. 25. Barreda M. 20. Bernaola G. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 54. Gamero Y. 8. Guzman L. 17. Liza P. 13. Llontop M. 37. Pumacajia A. 4. Ramos E. 19. Rodriguez G.
Coaches
Rescalvo I.	Ribonetto W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ⚽, Tandazo W. (A),
45', Quinones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
46', Arrieta C. ↓, Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↑,
49', Tandazo W. 🟨,
61', Cabanillas N. ↓, Llontop M. ↑,
61', Castro F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
65', Castro A. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
66', Trujillo C. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
70', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
78', Martinez T. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
78', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
79', Perez K. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
83', Bordacahar C. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
86', Caceda C. 🟨,
87', Ramirez G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melgar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Deportes Tolima is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
14.02.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWL
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
14.02.25	Cusco - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.25	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
16.01.25	Millonarios - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	América de Cali - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTTW

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