The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 35.3%
Draw 30.5%
Deportes Tolima 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
29.5%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
29%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Santa Fe's form might have worsened.
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Tolima's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 4. Puerta M. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 3. Moreno V. 24. Angulo J. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 16. Torres D. (C) 14. Palacios L. 10. Zapata A. 17. Lovera M. 19. Bustos N.
1. Neto Volpi (G) 3. Angulo J. 5. Mera J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 28. Lopez E. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 32. Guzman S. 18. Florez K. 24. Parra Osorio A. 10. Sanchez L.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 9. Fagundez F. 77. Obrian J. 18. Olivera E. 39. Portocarrero C. 11. Rodallega H. 25. Rodriguez E. 7. Torres J.
15. Aguayo S. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 7. Hurtado J. 33. Mosquera J. 13. Ortega M. (G) 4. Pedrozo D. 29. Sanchez N. 19. Santiago J. 6. Trujillo C.
Coaches
Repetto P.
Oliveros S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Puerta M. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
37', Lopez E. 🟨,
42', Bustos N. 🟨,
45+3', Moreno V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreno V. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
46', Torres D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Bustos N. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
62', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
62', Lopez E. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
65', Olivera E. 🟨,
73', Bustos N. ↓, Rodallega H. ↑,
73', Zapata A. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
76', Mera J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
76', Guzman S. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
82', Lovera M. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
84', Hernandez J. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
86', Sanchez L. ↓, Santiago J. ↑,
90+2', Mosquera J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.
Santa Fe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Tolima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santa Fe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Santa Fe
12
6
4
2
19:12
7
22
8
Deportes Tolima
13
5
5
3
15:13
2
20
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.93%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Deportes Tolima - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Mosquera A. (G) 
Lovera M. 
Neto Volpi (G) 
Fagundez F. 
Aguayo S. 
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