Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Georgia	Silk Universal
Greece	Nova Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Deportivo A Coruña		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.75	3.54	5.02	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.8
	1.76	3.58	5.14
	1.75	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	3.45 ↓ (3.76)	4.8 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
53.6%

Draw
27%

Cádiz
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.1%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

26.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	22.7%	31.8%

Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cádiz (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 1 - 25%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 15. Loureiro M. 4. Noubi L. 12. Quagliata G. 19. Cruz Luismi 8. Villares D. (C) 21. Soriano M. 11. Mella D. 22. Stoichkov 10. Hernandez Y.	13. Aznar V. (G) 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 21. Climent M. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 10. Ocampo B. (C) 17. Camara D. 23. Pascual A.
Substitutes
5. Barcia D. 3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 35. Lopez R. 7. Mulattieri S. 32. Nsongo B. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G)	30. Blanco R. (G) 16. Cordero A. 18. Diarra Y. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 9. Marti R. 22. Ontiveros J. 33. Pereira R. 12. Tabatadze I. 7. Ugiagbe E.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Mella D. ⚽, Soriano M. (A),
21', Soriano M. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Moreno J. ⚽, de la Rosa J. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Villares D. ⚽, Hernandez Y. (A),
33', Mella D. 🟨,
42', Hidalgo A. 🟨,
45', Ocampo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Ocampo B. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
70', Camara D. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
70', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
70', de la Rosa J. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
71', Mella D. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
73', Quagliata G. 🟨,
75', Climent M. 🟨,
82', Altimira A. ↓, Barcia D. ↑,
82', Stoichkov ↓, Nsongo B. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Tabatadze I. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
87', Villares D. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
90+5', Pascual A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deportivo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Escudero S. (Muscle Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Caicedo A. (Injury) Carcelen I. (Yellow Cards) Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Suso (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo A Coruña - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.22%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	FC Andorra - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Cádiz - Castellón	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Cádiz - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Real Murcia - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Córdoba - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0
30.11.24	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	2:4
19.01.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0
21.09.19	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
12.05.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:1
22.12.18	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0

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