Match Info

LaLiga - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Canada	TSN+
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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Mallorca		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.62	3.06	3.2
	2.55	3	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.88	3.1
	2.57	2.98	3.28	Watch
	2.5	3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)	2.97 ↓ (3.24)	3.15 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
37.5%

Draw
32.2%

Elche
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mallorca's form might have worsened.

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mallorca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	45.2%	9.7%

Mallorca - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 14 - 45.2%). Elche will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 45.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 27.7% – 62.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mallorca (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Elche (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Elche (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 8. Morlanes M. 5. Mascarell O. 18. Joseph M. 10. Darder S. 17. Virgili J. 7. Muriqi V.	13. Pena I. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 23. Chust V. 6. Bigas P. (C) 8. Aguado M. 11. Valera G. 16. Neto M. 14. Febas A. 7. Santiago Y. 10. Mir R.
Substitutes
11. Asano T. 13. Bergstrom L. (G) 30. Domenech M. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 9. Prats A. 6. Sanchez A. 38. Torreguitart Nil (G) 20. Torre P.	9. Andre Silva 32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 35. Houary A. 17. Josan 30. Mendoza R. 3. Pedrosa A. 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 20. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Morlanes M. ⚽, Virgili J. (A),
20', Morlanes M. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Maffeo P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', Santiago Y. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
66', Nunez A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Morlanes M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
71', Joseph M. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
78', Neto M. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
82', Mascarell O. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Mascarell O. ⚽,
86', Darder S. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
86', Virgili J. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
87', Mir R. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
87', Affengruber D. ↓, Josan ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Mascarell O. (A),
90', Muriqi V. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
90+4', Asano T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Mallorca: Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Samu Costa (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Elche: Diangana G. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 27.47%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Elche - Girona	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.25	Getafe - Elche	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Elche - Real Madrid	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.03.23	Mallorca - Elche	0:1
10.10.22	Elche - Mallorca	1:1
16.04.22	Elche - Mallorca	3:0
07.11.21	Mallorca - Elche	2:2
Spanish LaLiga2
03.03.19	Mallorca - Elche	1:1
16.09.18	Elche - Mallorca	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.04.18	Elche - Mallorca	0:0

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