Match Info

LaLiga - Round 15

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Bolivia	16:00	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	3	Watch
	2.58	2.98	2.98	Watch
	2.65	3.05	3.11
	2.61	2.99	3.04	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.9
	2.71	3.1	3.09	Watch
	2.6	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.64)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	3.02 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
36.4%

Draw
31.9%

Mallorca
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

30.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	57.1%	16.3%

Real Oviedo - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 13 - 27.1%). Mallorca will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.4% – 72.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Oviedo (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Mallorca (1.51) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 4 - 25%). Mallorca (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 16. Carmo D. 3. Alhassane R. 9. Vinas F. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 23. Rondon S.	13. Bergstrom L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 5. Mascarell O. 12. Samu Costa 18. Joseph M. 10. Darder S. 17. Virgili J. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 2. Bailly E. 18. Brekalo J. 12. Calvo D. 14. Ejaria O. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 5. Reina A. 6. Sibo K.	11. Asano T. 30. Domenech M. 4. Kumbulla M. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 8. Morlanes M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 26. Salhi I. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Torre P.
Coaches
Carrion L.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Samu Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Chaira I. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
75', Darder S. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
80', Virgili J. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
82', Rondon S. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
82', Dendoncker L. ↓, Ejaria O. ↑,
89', Cazorla S. 🟥,
90+3', Maffeo P. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
90+5', Vinas F. 🟥,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0.

Oviedo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mallorca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mallorca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Oviedo: Domingues B. (Injury) Ilic L. (Inactive) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Lopez J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Lato T. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Roman L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTL
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Betis - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.03.21	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	0:0
03.01.21	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	2:2
09.03.19	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	1:0
04.11.18	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.09.18	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.17	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	2:1
04.09.16	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	0:0

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