Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Deportivo Achuapa		Deportivo Nueva Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.6	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.55	4.9
	1.63	3.84	5.27
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.62	3.64	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)	4.97 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
56.6%

Draw
25.1%

Deportivo Nueva Concepción
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

20.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Deportivo Nueva Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Achuapa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Nueva Concepción than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Recent matches Achuapa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nueva Concepción is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Achuapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Achuapa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Achuapa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Achuapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.02.22	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Sololá	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL
- Deportivo Nueva Concepción
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Municipal	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Cobán Imperial	1:2 ✺
02.02.22	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:0 ✺
29.01.22	Xelajú - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.10.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	1:0
01.08.21	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0

Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide