Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	22:30	Begin
Bolivia	12:30	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	13:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:30	TSN+
Chile	12:30	DirecTV Sports
China	00:30	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:30	DSports
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	18:30	beIN Connect
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	00:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	18:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	22:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	23:30	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	21:30	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	10:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	04:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 7
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	18:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	18:30	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Thailand	23:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	19:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:30	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	23:30	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Deportivo Alavés		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.55
	2.82	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.86	3.36	2.64
	2.8	3.35	2.56	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.5
	2.91	3.35	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
34.2%

Draw
29%

Athletic Bilbao
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	48.1%	25.9%

Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 24. Parada V. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 4. Suarez D. 11. Martinez T. 22. Diabate I.	1. Simon U. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 5. Alvarez Y. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 30. Rego A. 18. Jauregizar M. 9. Williams I. (C) 20. Gomez U. 10. Williams N. 11. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
10. Alena C. 20. Calebe 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 16. Koski V. 34. Manas A. 27. Munoz E. 5. Pacheco J. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 3. Yusi	12. Areso J. 7. Berenguer A. 19. Boiro A. 25. Izeta 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 8. Sancet O. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M. 3. Vivian D.
Coaches
Sanchez Flores Q.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Blanco A. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
28', Martinez T. 🟨,
41', Valverde E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Jauregizar M. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
46', Williams I. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
46', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Navarro R. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
49', Ibanez P. 🟨,
60', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
60', Blanco A. 🟨,
62', Suarez D. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,
62', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Tenaglia N. ⚽, Rebbach A. (A),
73', Diabate I. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
73', Gorosabel A. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Sancet O. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
76', Williams N. 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Williams N. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
84', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
87', 2 - 4, Williams N. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
89', Williams N. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
90+2', Alena C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Boye L. (Muscle Injury) Garces F. (Suspended) Protesoni C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Coach's decision)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
8	Ath Bilbao	9	3	3	3	12:9	3	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.45% Alaves: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLTTW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.25	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
15.12.24	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
16.03.24	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.24	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
22.09.23	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	0:2

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