Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
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France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
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Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Elche		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.1
	2.28	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.29	3.35	3.45
	2.26	3.25	3.37	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.33	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.26)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	3.3 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
41.5%

Draw
29.6%

Deportivo Alavés
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	23.5%	5.9%

Elche - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Alavés will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Alavés (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Alavés (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dituro M. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Tete Morente 12. Villar G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 11. Valera G. 20. Rodriguez A. 9. Andre Silva	1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 24. Parada V. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 18. Guridi J. 11. Martinez T. 22. Diabate I.
Substitutes
42. Buba Sangare 24. Cepeda L. 19. Diangana G. 18. Donald J. 39. Fort H. 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L. 46. Piera J. 5. Redondo Solari F.	20. Calebe 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 16. Koski V. 34. Manas A. 27. Munoz E. 5. Pacheco J. 23. Protesoni C. 4. Suarez D. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 3. Yusi
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ibanez P. 🟨,
29', Blanco A. 🟨,
33', Jonny Otto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ibanez P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
50', Febas A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Martinez T. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Tete Morente ↓, Josan ↑,
67', Febas A. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
67', Martinez T. ↓, Yusi ↑,
69', Diabate I. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Josan (A),
78', Sivera A. 🟨,
82', Sarabia E. 🟨,
82', Guridi J. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
82', Diabate I. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
85', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
85', Chust V. ↓, Buba Sangare ↑,
88', Diangana G. 🟨,
88', Rebbach A. 🟨,
90', Valera G. ↓, Fort H. ↑,
90', Rebbach A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
90+5', Donald J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Elche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Muscle Injury) Mir R. (Hamstring Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Alena C. (Yellow Cards) Boye L. (Muscle Injury) Garces F. (Suspended)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.39% Elche: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.78%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Elche - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.10.25	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	3:1
05.02.22	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
26.10.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.21	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
18.10.20	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.16	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:0

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