Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	18:00	Begin
Belarus	15:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	08:00	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	09:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	08:00	DirecTV Sports
China	20:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	07:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	16:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	17:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	18:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	17:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	07:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	15:00	Orange TV Go
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	20:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	19:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	15:00	S Sport, S Sport+
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	19:00	ON Football, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Elche		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.1
	2.28	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.29	3.35	3.45
	2.26	3.25	3.37	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.33	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.26)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	3.3 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
41.5%

Draw
29.6%

Deportivo Alavés
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	23.5%	5.9%

Elche - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Alavés will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Alavés (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Alavés (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dituro M. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Tete Morente 12. Villar G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 11. Valera G. 20. Rodriguez A. 9. Andre Silva	1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 24. Parada V. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 18. Guridi J. 11. Martinez T. 22. Diabate I.
Substitutes
42. Buba Sangare 24. Cepeda L. 19. Diangana G. 18. Donald J. 39. Fort H. 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L. 46. Piera J. 5. Redondo Solari F.	20. Calebe 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 16. Koski V. 34. Manas A. 27. Munoz E. 5. Pacheco J. 23. Protesoni C. 4. Suarez D. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 3. Yusi
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ibanez P. 🟨,
29', Blanco A. 🟨,
33', Jonny Otto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ibanez P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
50', Febas A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Martinez T. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Tete Morente ↓, Josan ↑,
67', Febas A. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
67', Martinez T. ↓, Yusi ↑,
69', Diabate I. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Josan (A),
78', Sivera A. 🟨,
82', Sarabia E. 🟨,
82', Guridi J. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
82', Diabate I. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
85', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
85', Chust V. ↓, Buba Sangare ↑,
88', Diangana G. 🟨,
88', Rebbach A. 🟨,
90', Valera G. ↓, Fort H. ↑,
90', Rebbach A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
90+5', Donald J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Elche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Muscle Injury) Mir R. (Hamstring Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Alena C. (Yellow Cards) Boye L. (Muscle Injury) Garces F. (Suspended)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.2% Elche: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.78%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Elche - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.10.25	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	3:1
05.02.22	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
26.10.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.21	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
18.10.20	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.16	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:0

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