Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 28

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)


	Deportivo Alavés		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	8	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6.5
	1.5	3.7	8
	1.55	3.7	8.33
	1.52	3.74	7.6	Watch
	1.51	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	3.7 (3.7)	7.57 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
62%

Draw
25.5%

Ibiza
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

25.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	2.9%	8.8%

Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (21.93%), has project points - 74, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (39.4%), has project points - 35, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 48, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Alavés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alavés is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alavés to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alavés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
11.02.23	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Eibar	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mirandés - Deportivo Alavés	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
12.02.23	Ibiza - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Granada - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.08.22	Ibiza - Deportivo Alavés	1:1

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