The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Equidad 40.7%
Draw 30.3%
Junior Barranquilla 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
29.7%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
29.9%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Equidad's performance.
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
26.7%
40%
Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Junior will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Perez A. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 4. Tegue G. 20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 24. Montano B. 14. Acosta F. 6. Orozco S. 16. Mayo S. 3. Correa A. (C) 7. Del Valle A. 9. Renan Oliveira
77. Mele S. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 66. Baez C. 5. Rivera D. 3. Herrera E. 8. Chara Y. 6. Moreno D. 99. Enamorado J. 10. Gonzalez L. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T.
Substitutes
27. Caicedo B. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 25. Lopez S. 39. Murillo C. 2. Polanco D. 26. Torralvo A. 1. Varela C. (G)
80. Angel Bernal F. S. 70. Bacca C. 20. Caicedo D. 30. Martinez J. (G) 15. Mosquera Moreno Y. 9. Paiva G. 23. Rodriguez S.
Coaches
Bodmer J.
Farias Acosta C. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Castrillon B. 🟥,
45+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
45+2', Orozco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Angel Amaya Pena M. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
46', Orozco S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Pen),
64', Enamorado J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
64', Del Valle A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
71', Gutierrez T. ↓, Caicedo D. ↑,
71', Chara Y. ↓, Mosquera Moreno Y. ↑,
80', Correa A. 🟨,
80', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
85', Mayo S. ↓, Torralvo A. ↑,
85', Tegue G. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
87', Mosquera Moreno Y. 🟨,
87', Mosquera Moreno Y. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
88', Torralvo A. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 1.
La Equidad is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Junior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
La Equidad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
La Equidad will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 8:21 (average 0.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 0.6:0.2).
Colombia
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Perez A. (G) 
Renan Oliveira 
Mele S. (G) 
Baez C. 
Gonzalez L. 
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