Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	SD Aucas		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.75
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.56	4	4.7
	1.52	4	5.2
	1.6	3.95	5.9
	1.55	3.75	5.25
	1.58	4.2	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.95)	3.97 ↑ (3.6)	5.31 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
59.3%

Draw
23.3%

9 de Octubre
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Aucas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aucas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aucas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.03.22	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	4:4 ✺
11.03.22	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	SD Aucas - Delfín	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Orense - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLWT
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.03.22	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.03.22	Orense - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.03.22	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.03.22	9 de Octubre - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.21	SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre	1:1
04.04.21	9 de Octubre - SD Aucas	1:3

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