Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Marin R. (Ecu)


	Deportivo Cuenca		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	1.9	3.45	3.75
	2.05	3.6	3.57
	1.85	3.25	3.9
	2.04	3.5	3.52	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.73)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.55 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
46.4%

Draw
27.4%

Gualaceo
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

24.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cuenca's form might have worsened.

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo Cuenca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cuenca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	4:1 ✺
07.04.23	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.04.23	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Gualaceo - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	LDU Quito - Gualaceo	6:1 ✺
17.03.23	Gualaceo - Orense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.07.22	Gualaceo - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0
07.03.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo	2:1

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