Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 12

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)


	Deportivo Cuenca		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.5	4	6
	1.49	4.12	6.85
	1.5	4.1	6.79
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.26	6.64	Watch
	1.48	4.05	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)	4.08 ↑ (3.74)	6.32 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
62.6%

Draw
22.7%

Cumbayá
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Cuenca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Piedra H. (G) 25. Lopez A. 19. Fratta G. 3. Mina S. 32. Romero N. 5. Melo R. 17. Corozo B. 10. Luna D. 7. Mancinelli L. 70. Branda V. 12. Magnin P.	23. San Juan F. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 14. Suarez D. 4. Paredes J. 12. Pluas W. 18. Almagro A. 19. Diaz M. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 22. Serpa T. 10. Tapia R. 17. Carabali E.
Substitutes
9. Arroyo L. 21. Becerra R. 4. Biojo R. 26. Caicedo Y. 11. Chala W. 8. Davila E. 1. Eduardo Jose Jimenez Sarmiento (G) 40. Mera F. 13. Noboa D. 18. Piedra I. 16. Quinonez Y. 77. Zambrano M.	54. Caicedo B. 37. Estacio G. 20. Gruezo M. 1. Lemos A. (G) 9. Magoia A. 15. Ontivero L. 60. Ortiz D. 28. Suarez F. 32. Vides B.
Coaches
Oca I.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Carabali E. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
23', Corozo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Mina S. ⚽, Mancinelli L. (A),
63', Carabali E. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
63', Almagro A. ↓, Estacio G. ↑,
70', Branda V. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Magnin P. (Pen),
75', Vides B. 🟨,
77', Magnin P. ↓, Becerra R. ↑,
77', Tapia R. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
77', Diaz M. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
83', Serpa T. ↓, Magoia A. ↑,
85', Luna D. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
85', Mancinelli L. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Deportivo Cuenca is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cuenca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.05.24	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	5:0 ✺
17.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
12.04.24	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	3:3 ✺
06.04.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTL
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Cumbayá - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Emelec - Cumbayá	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.08.23	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1
20.03.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	1:0
16.09.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	1:1
01.05.22	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1

Upcoming Matches