Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos V (Jauregui)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	Deportivo Flandria		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.88
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.7	2.9	2.8
	2.94	2.87	2.82
	2.75	2.8	2.62
	2.84	3.04	2.66
	2.65	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.53)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	2.74 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
33.8%

Draw
32.1%

Almirante Brown
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flandria will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almirante Brown: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (G) 4. Broggi C. 2. Arrechea N. 6. Marchio J. 3. Canever F. 8. Murillo F. 5. Altuna A. 10. Rivadero M. 11. Seimandi L. 7. Gagliardi A. 9. Sanchez C.	1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Stable Facundo N. 2. Dattola A. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Ochoa A. 11. Zacaria J. 8. Santiago M. 5. Enrique M. 7. Vazquez J. 10. Vera S. 9. Bazan N.
Substitutes
14. Camacho A. 19. Comachi M. 17. Fernandez M. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 20. Melivilo F. 15. Nalerio A. 16. Papa G. 13. Raggio E. 18. Torres J.	15. Abreliano M. 19. Batallini M. 17. Escurra J. L. 20. Garcia D. 16. Garcia J. 12. Gatas N. (G) 14. Ledesma D. 13. Moreno C. 18. Rivero G.
Coaches
Arrotea T.	Franco D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flandria won 1.

Flandria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almirante Brown is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Flandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Flandria won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Flandria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Güemes	3:1 ✺
02.07.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.07.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Almirante Brown - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown	4:0 ✺
19.06.23	Almirante Brown - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1
07.06.22	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Flandria	0:1
Argentinian Primera B
08.03.20	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Flandria	1:1
21.09.19	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:1
12.05.19	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Flandria	2:0
02.12.18	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	3:0
05.06.16	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	1:0

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