Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports


	Aurora		Cobán Imperial

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.99	2.88	4.49
	2.01	3.09	4.01	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.08	3.12	3.74	Watch
	1.96	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	3.01 ↓ (3.22)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
46.1%

Draw
30.5%

Cobán Imperial
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cobán Imperial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Aurora - Cobán Imperial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 23. Alvarez J. 17. Bajan D. 2. Cardona L. 13. Galindo A. 6. Garcia A. (C) 11. Ibarguen E. 5. Lemus J. 10. Lovato N. 4. Monterroso C. 30. Soriano B.	55. Casas T. (G) 3. Acosta M. 31. Chocooj D. 14. De Leon L. 28. Janderson (C) 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 7. Mejia O. 20. Paredes S. 30. Soto E. 4. Thales 77. Winter J.
Substitutes
21. Arevalo J. 49. Campos G. 25. Diaz A. 64. Gonzalez M. 1. Navas D. (G) 9. Ruiz D. 3. Soriano J. 28. Ticuru J. 31. Urias V.	33. Ayala V. (G) 17. Cabrera A. 19. Estrada J. 11. Fajardo J. 15. Flores C. 98. Milla J. 35. Monges C. 92. Rivas E. 16. Teni S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Garcia A. 🟨,
21', Lemus J. 🟨,
34', Paredes S. ↓, Monges C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Casas T. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
57', Galindo A. 🟨,
58', Thales 🟨,
65', Winter J. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
65', Chocooj D. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
65', Alvarez J. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
65', Lovato N. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
65', Ibarguen E. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
72', Galindo A. ↓, Arevalo J. ↑,
87', Bajan D. ↓, Soriano J. ↑,

Preview

Aurora has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cobán Imperial is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aurora might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Coban Imperial	12	3	4	5	15:18	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Aurora - Municipal	2:2 ✺
20.01.26	Xelajú - Aurora	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTL
- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Marquense	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Comunicaciones - Cobán Imperial	2:3 ✺
21.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.11.25	Cobán Imperial - Aurora	2:0
24.08.25	Aurora - Cobán Imperial	1:1

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