The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobán Imperial 54.8%
Draw 26.3%
Marquense 18.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.5%
26.9%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
27.7%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Cobán Imperial - Marquense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Casas T. (G) 8. Alvarez Y. 31. Chen D. 14. De Leon L. 12. Ical A. 28. Janderson 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 11. Moreira M. 30. Soto E. 16. Teni S. 3. Torres D.
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 20. Gordillo G. 9. Grande D. 79. Linton O. 24. Lopez C. 11. Ochaeta D. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 66. Santos C.
Substitutes
22. Aldana B. 15. Amaral U. 80. Amaya W. 20. Paredes S. 23. Romero J. (G) 18. Rosas L. 32. Sandoval J. 19. Valdez K. 77. Winter J.
13. Cifuentes J. (G) 21. Escobar J. 3. Fuentes F. 70. Hernandez Y. 91. Matta A. 99. Rodas M. 18. Sanchez E. 5. Vasquez E. 8. Velasquez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Moreira M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Chen D. ↓, Valdez K. ↑,
46', Ical A. ↓, Paredes S. ↑,
46', Grande D. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
46', de L. B. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
55', Alvarez Y. ↓, Winter J. ↑,
56', Soto E. 🟨,
64', Ochaeta D. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
64', Soto E. ↓, Aldana B. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Santos C. ⚽,
70', Santos C. 🟨,
72', Moreira M. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Janderson ⚽,
83', Paredes S. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Amaral U. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Winter J. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 2.
Cobán Imperial has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Marquense shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Marquense has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Cobán Imperial carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Cobán Imperial has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:8 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobán Imperial against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:0 goals (averaging 2.7:0 per game).