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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Equidad 26.6%
Draw 28.9%
Atlético Bucaramanga 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
30.3%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
28.6%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
42.9%
57.1%
Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Bucaramanga will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (C) 27. Hernandez J. 4. Tegue G. 13. Abonia Y. 24. Montano B. 32. Garcia Y. 33. Copete D. 6. Orozco S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 16. Mayo S. 10. Cruz W.
12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 23. Romana C. 2. Mena J. 8. Hinestroza F. 22. Fabry (C) 7. Londono K. 70. Castaneda F. 30. Cardenas S. 15. Chavez D. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
30. Agron B. 23. Carrasco N. (G) 15. Castro D. 28. Chaverra F. 3. Correa A. 25. Lopez S. 18. Paternina C.
18. Blanco J. 28. Flores L. 29. Henao C. 92. Ibarguen A. 14. Mosquera J. 97. Penaranda A. 1. Quintana A. (G)
Coaches
Mahecha J.
Alvarez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
20', 0 - 1, Pons L. (Pen),
33', 0 - 2, Fabry ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Romana C. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 4, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castaneda F. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
46', Cardenas S. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
46', Cruz W. ↓, Paternina C. ↑,
46', Orozco S. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
49', 1 - 4, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽,
63', Romana C. 🟨,
67', Garcia Y. 🟨,
72', Chavez D. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
84', Pons L. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
84', Londono K. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
85', Abonia Y. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
85', Garcia Y. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
90+5', Ibarguen A. 🟥,
90+5', Copete D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
Colombia
South-america
Watch
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Varela C. (C) 
Hernandez J. 
Chavez D. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
