The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 60.6%
Draw 23.6%
Trujillanos 15.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.9%
22.3%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
20.6%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Deportivo La Guaira - Trujillanos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 16. Martinez L. 24. Ortiz G. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 39. Orihuela M. 15. Gonzalez M. 27. Correa J. 10. Castellanos J. 7. Meza J. 36. Londono F. 22. Sulbaran M.
1. Lopez V. (G) 30. Granados J. (C) 4. Gnemmi E. 15. Rodriguez D. 33. Gonzalez M. 26. Araujo A. 22. Gonzalez K. 10. Abreu E. 90. Linarez D. 7. Santos C. 9. Gonzalez F.
Substitutes
6. Faya C. 33. Hernandez N. 23. Herrera J. 8. Perdomo J. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 9. Uribe A. 67. Vargas G. 28. Villero M.
25. Andara Garcia J. E. 60. Canizalez A. 36. Carmona J. 8. Echeverria J. 12. Garcia O. (G) 24. Gil C. 6. Gonzalez J. 18. Mendez J. 11. Mosquera L. 35. Nakache D. 77. Parra G.
Coaches
Rodriguez M.
Contreras R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Castellanos J. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Araujo A. ↓, Carmona J. ↑,
31', Gnemmi E. 🟨,
31', Ortiz G. 🟨,
32', Gonzalez F. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Ortiz G. ↓, Villero M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Faya C. ↑,
66', Linarez D. ↓, Parra G. ↑,
66', Abreu E. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
69', Meza J. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
69', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
76', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
77', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gil C. ↑,
78', Castellanos J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Sulbaran M. (Own goal),
83', Castellanos J. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
84', Londono F. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Santos C. ⚽, Gonzalez K. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 3.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Trujillanos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Deportivo La Guaira for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:18 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo La Guaira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).