Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)


	Universidad Central		Zulia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.08	3.05	3.35
	2.13	2.96	3.35
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.23	2.94	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.55)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.25 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
41.5%

Draw
30.6%

Zulia
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Central's performance.

Zulia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zulia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	72.7%	18.2%

Universidad Central - Zulia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Zulia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Universidad Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Universidad Central will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.07.22	Universidad Central - Monagas	0:2 ✺
21.07.22	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central	3:0 ✺
07.07.22	Universidad Central - Aragua	2:1 ✺
01.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWT
- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
29.07.22	Zulia - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Zamora - Zulia	5:1 ✺
17.07.22	Zulia - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Caracas - Zulia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
14.04.22	Zulia - Universidad Central	2:2

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