The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 42.5%
Draw 30.8%
Villa San Carlos 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
28.5%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
28%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Laferrere's form might have worsened.
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Laferrere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Deportivo Laferrere - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morro M. (G) 11. Benitez A. 6. Cavoret I. 3. Denis J. 9. Moran J. 2. Nebot L. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 5. Trejo E. 8. Vivas N.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 2. Areco G. 6. Esteves I. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 3. Martinez A. 10. Melillo E. 11. Mussis F. 9. Salinas R.
Substitutes
16. Bramajo D. 14. Cantero M. 13. Digangi M. 17. Digion R. 12. Libares T. (G) 15. Mamani L. 20. Rebecchi L. 19. Vega D. 18. Visco A.
16. Acosta A. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Canete S. 17. Fabi S. 13. Machin L. 19. Pavia K. 20. Plastino M. 15. Ponton A. 18. Zegarra Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Cavoret I. ⚽,
23', Areco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Melillo E. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
61', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
64', Lugones A. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
64', Martinez A. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
76', Benitez A. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
79', Romero F. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
79', Farias F. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
83', Mussis F. ↓, Machin L. ↑,
86', Ortiz F. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
86', Denis J. ↓, Mamani L. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Lloyaiy A. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 1.
Deportivo Laferrere has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa San Carlos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportivo Laferrere could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
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Morro M. (G) 
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