Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday


	Deportivo Llacuabamba		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.64	3.37	2.33
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.64	3.42	2.41	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.31)	3.32 ↑ (3.22)	2.4 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Llacuabamba
34.9%

Draw
27.3%

Comerciantes Unidos
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Llacuabamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Llacuabamba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Llacuabamba will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rebora E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 27. Campos A. 14. Gallardo J. 10. Garcia L. (C) 26. Gonzales D. 6. Hidalgo A. 23. Jimenez C. 11. Montero J. 19. Quintero J. 5. Vega J.	21. Campos D. (G) 11. Aponza Y. 16. Bosmediano J. 8. Leguia F. 25. Lopez K. 3. Mena J. 6. Paico K. 32. Salinas R. 10. Santamaria K. 9. Sen M. (C) 4. Valverde L.
Substitutes
20. Curiel M. 28. Delgado M. 33. Garcia J. 18. Palomino M. 98. Ratto P. 1. Rojas S. (G) 13. Vasquez J.	1. Anderson R. (G) 30. Bazan R. 7. Becerra P. 2. Canova J. 24. Goyoneche P. 23. Magallanes P. 5. Peral P.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: )).

Recent matches Deportivo Llacuabamba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Comerciantes Unidos is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Llacuabamba won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Llacuabamba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
29.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	3:0 ✺
18.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Santos	1:1 ✺
12.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:0 ✺
04.07.23	Ayacucho - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTLW
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
30.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
11.07.23	Carlos Stein - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
04.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
14.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1
24.07.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1
24.04.22	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0
07.09.21	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0
07.07.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:2

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