What is the expert prediction for Deportivo Macará vs América de Cali?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Deportivo Macará vs América de Cali. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Deportivo Macará vs América de Cali Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Deportivo Macará		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.63	2.4	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.45
	3.25	2.78	2.42	Watch
	3.55	2.82	2.42
	3.83	2.92	2.23	Watch
	3.25	2.7	2.4
	3.83	2.72	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.92)	2.77 ↑ (2.59)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
26.8%

Draw
34%

América de Cali
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

36.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

35.9%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). América de Cali will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Cali: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - América de Cali (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 5. Estacio J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 7. Paz F. 8. Blanc G. 10. Miranda M. 9. Posse F.	1. Jean (G) 13. Castillo M. 2. Torres M. 4. Mosquera A. 30. Bertel O. 21. Angel T. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 11. Machis D. 9. Valencia D. 10. Guzman Y.
Substitutes
50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 15. Tello M. 17. Zambrano J.	35. Angulo K. 8. Borrero D. 6. Cavadia J. 14. Mina D. 28. Mina L. M. 7. Murillo J. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 3. Rosero D. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G) 24. Tovar C.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Escobar J. (Own goal),
24', 1 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽, Angel T. (A),
45+3', Torres M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Marrufo J. 🟨,
63', Machis D. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
69', Castillo M. ↓, Mina L. M. ↑,
69', Valencia D. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
75', Carrascal R. 🟨,
77', Viera M. 🟨,
79', Miranda M. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
79', Viera M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
84', Jean 🟨,
90', Murillo J. 🟨,
90+3', Angel T. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
90+3', Paz F. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
90+4', Blanc G. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
90+4', Guzman Y. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

América de Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

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Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

America De Cali: 4.38% Macara: 0.49%

Last Results with these Odds

América de Cali - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.39%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTT
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
05.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	América de Cali - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTW

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